CYBERMED LIFE - ORGANIC  & NATURAL LIVING

Coronavirus

  • CORONAVIRUS: BREAKING NEWS - "The All-Italian Virus" ... but maybe you already knew ...

    facebook Share on Facebook

    Prof. Giulio TarroThe moment of truth about the COVID-19 coronavirus

    ROME 02 March 2020 - Until less than 20 years ago, coronaviruses represented a viral family that during the winter period caused 10 to 30% of colds, therefore it was not worth worrying about it. In 2002 the situation changed with the SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Sindrom) which in China affected 8 thousand individuals and caused about 10% of mortality with a virus that infected dogs and cats from the bat and then hit humans. After the leopard spots of the MERS (Middle East Respiratory Sindrom) in 2012 in South Arabia and as an epidemic in 2015 in South Korea, camel coronavirus, at the end of 2019 with a particular epicenter at the Huanan city market of the Wuhan metropolis , Hubei's province a new coronavirus appears, then appealed COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019), which after passing into exotic animals pangolin, porcupine infects humans and adapts with greater virulence so as to subsequently establish interhuman infection and the spread of a mysterious pneumonia before its isolation and genetic study, variability from 2 to 12% compared to the original bat coronavirus.

    While the history of epidemics repeats itself over the centuries, the basic rules have not changed by isolating the patient and carrying out the quarantine, thus from the Athens typhoid fever of 430 b.c. to the plague of Manzonian memory, 1600 AD to the Spanish of 1918, the flu that claimed more victims than the just ended First World War. In China, the SARS lesson has made it possible to mobilize the population of Wuhan with a delay of almost a month compared to the first cases and the prompt communication to the WHO (World Health Organization) which in itself caught the epidemic by declaring it only a month after the first communication as PHEIC that is Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The photo of President Xi with the face mask and the public declaration of danger showed a delay that cost human lives, despite that early diagnosis by the ophthalmologist Wen Lee who died from this epidemic disease.

    The virus appeared controllable and non-aggressive in the infection, providing after 10 days from the communication to the WHO, the viral genome to the American CDC (Center for Disease Control and Prevention) which immediately confirmed the fingerprints of the new coronavirus for the preparation of a diagnostic kit to be used globally for all healthcare institutions and to distinguish this infection from ongoing seasonal flu. Obviously this viral nucleic acid will allow us to know the proteins produced by viral RNA for the synthesis of specific antigens and antiviral drugs. The speech of the vaccine will take time and although stem cell methodologies can be used, 12-18 years will be needed for safe treatment.

    Northern Italy, especially Lombardia and Veneto, has been affected by the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic for a week. Trying to isolate the carriers of the disease in connection with China is not an effective strategy to contain the disease, since the virus is transmitted like the flu virus and we can expect to have patients who have had no contact with possible carriers. Many cases are not diagnosed because people have not yet developed symptoms and do not know they have been exposed to the virus. Therefore, bearing in mind what is really happening, the blocking of flights with China was useless, however it was bypassed by the indirect connection of flights through other countries. It would have been better to implement the federal quarantine declared by the USA on February 2 with two weeks of isolation which corresponds to the longest time between exposure and the onset of symptoms and affects all subjects who have had contacts both outside and inside China.

    The risk represented by COVID-19 is substantially the same as that of the many flu epidemics that occur every year without causing a sensation.
    Let's take an example. Every year about ten thousand people die in Italy (mostly elderly or suffering from some previous pathology) from influenza virus. This is not news, especially because these deaths are scattered throughout the national territory. Now imagine that all people at risk are hospitalized in a couple of places, perhaps surrounded by journalists looking for some scoop. Rest assured that the resulting "flu epidemic that can cause death" will push countless people (about six million Italians are affected by flu syndrome each year) to demand analysis and an assistance impossible to obtain.

  • Risk Factors Associated With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Death in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia in Wuhan, China

     
    JAMA Intern Med. Published online March 13, 2020. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.0994

    https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2763184?guestAccessKey=05e1a623-34cb-4a33-b407-50c6ce40f2b7&utm_source=silverchair&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=article_alert-jamainternalmedicine&utm_term=mostread&utm_content=olf-widget_04062020&appId=scweb

     
     
    Key Points

    Question  What clinical characteristics are associated with the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and progression from ARDS to death among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia?

    Findings  In this cohort study involving 201 patients with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia, risk factors associated with the development of ARDS and progression from ARDS to death included older age, neutrophilia, and organ and coagulation dysfunction. Treatment with methylprednisolone may be beneficial for patients who develop ARDS.

    Meaning  Risk for developing ARDS included factors consistent with immune activation; older age was associated with both ARDS development and death, likely owing to less robust immune responses.

     
    Abstract

    Importance  Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emerging infectious disease that was first reported in Wuhan, China, and has subsequently spread worldwide. Risk factors for the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 pneumonia have not yet been well delineated.

    Objective  To describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who developed acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) or died.

    Design, Setting, and Participants  Retrospective cohort study of 201 patients with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital in China between December 25, 2019, and January 26, 2020. The final date of follow-up was February 13, 2020.

    Exposures  Confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia.

    Main Outcomes and Measures  The development of ARDS and death. Epidemiological, demographic, clinical, laboratory, management, treatment, and outcome data were also collected and analyzed.

    Results  Of 201 patients, the median age was 51 years (interquartile range, 43-60 years), and 128 (63.7%) patients were men. Eighty-four patients (41.8%) developed ARDS, and of those 84 patients, 44 (52.4%) died. In those who developed ARDS, compared with those who did not, more patients presented with dyspnea (50 of 84 [59.5%] patients and 30 of 117 [25.6%] patients, respectively [difference, 33.9%; 95% CI, 19.7%-48.1%]) and had comorbidities such as hypertension (23 of 84 [27.4%] patients and 16 of 117 [13.7%] patients, respectively [difference, 13.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-26.1%]) and diabetes (16 of 84 [19.0%] patients and 6 of 117 [5.1%] patients, respectively [difference, 13.9%; 95% CI, 3.6%-24.2%]). In bivariate Cox regression analysis, risk factors associated with the development of ARDS and progression from ARDS to death included older age (hazard ratio [HR], 3.26; 95% CI 2.08-5.11; and HR, 6.17; 95% CI, 3.26-11.67, respectively), neutrophilia (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.09-1.19; and HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17, respectively), and organ and coagulation dysfunction (eg, higher lactate dehydrogenase [HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.44-1.79; and HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.11-1.52, respectively] and D-dimer [HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; and HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04, respectively]). High fever (≥39 °C) was associated with higher likelihood of ARDS development (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.11-2.84) and lower likelihood of death (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21-0.82). Among patients with ARDS, treatment with methylprednisolone decreased the risk of death (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20-0.72).

    Conclusions and Relevance  Older age was associated with greater risk of development of ARDS and death likely owing to less rigorous immune response. Although high fever was associated with the development of ARDS, it was also associated with better outcomes among patients with ARDS. Moreover, treatment with methylprednisolone may be beneficial for patients who develop ARDS.

     
     
    Introduction
     

    Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first reported in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China and has subsequently spread to other regions of China and 37 countries, including the United States, Japan, Australia, and France.1 SARS-CoV-2, which belongs to a unique clade of the sarbecovirus subgenus of the Orthocoronavirinae subfamily, was identified as the pathogen of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in January 2020.2

     

    As reported by Huang et al,3 patients with COVID-19 present primarily with fever, myalgia or fatigue, and dry cough. Although most patients are thought to have a favorable prognosis, older patients and those with chronic underlying conditions may have worse outcomes. Patients with severe illness may develop dyspnea and hypoxemia within 1 week after onset of the disease, which may quickly progress to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) or end-organ failure.4 Certain epidemiological features and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 have been previously reported.3-5 However, these studies were based on relatively small sample sizes, and risk factors leading to poor clinical outcomes have not been well delineated. In this study, we report the clinical characteristics and factors associated with developing ARDS after hospital admission and progression from ARDS to death in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia from a single hospital in Wuhan, China.

     
    Methods
     
    Study Population
     

    This is a retrospective cohort study of 201 patients aged 21 to 83 years with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia hospitalized at Jinyintan Hospital in Wuhan, China. All patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 pneumonia according to World Health Organization interim guidance.6 According to hospital data, patients were admitted from December 25, 2019, to January 26, 2020. Of 201 patients, 10 have been described previously by Chen et al4 and Huang et al.3 The ethics committee of Jinyintan Hospital approved this study and granted a waiver of informed consent from study participants.

     
    Procedures
     

    A trained team of physicians and medical students reviewed and collected epidemiological, clinical, and outcomes data from electronic medical records. Patients were followed up to February 13, 2020. The individual components of all definitions of clinical outcomes were recorded separately and checked by 2 authors (C.W. and X.C.). Patient confidentiality was protected by assigning a deidentified patient identification, and the electronic data was stored in a locked, password-protected computer.

     

    To identify SARS-CoV-2 infection, throat swab samples were obtained from all patients at admission and tested using real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction assays according to the same protocol described previously.3 The pathogenic detection was determined in 4 institutions (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, and Wuhan Institute of Virology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences) as described previously.4 Other respiratory pathogens, including respiratory syncytial virus, adenovirus, parainfluenza virus, influenza A virus, and influenza B virus, were also detected by real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction assays in 173 patients. Possible bacterial or fungal pathogens were detected by sputum culture. Additionally, patients underwent blood routine blood test, coagulation, and biochemical tests and chest x-rays or computed tomography. The most intense level of oxygen support during hospitalization (nasal cannula, noninvasive mechanical ventilation [NMV], invasive mechanical ventilation [IMV], or IMV with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation [ECMO]) was recorded. The majority of the clinical data used in this study was collected from the first day of hospital admission unless indicated otherwise. To minimize interference of treatment during hospitalization, the highest patient temperature was defined using the self-reported highest temperature prior to hospital admission. Older age was classified as 65 years or older. Fever and high fever were classified as 37.3 °C or higher and 39 °C or higher, respectively.

     
    Outcomes
     

    Two outcomes were evaluated: development of ARDS and death among those with ARDS. World Health Organization interim guidance was used to define ARDS.6

     
    Statistical Analysis
     

    Descriptive analyses of the variables were expressed as median (interquartile range [IQR]), or number (%). Differences in distributions of patient characteristics by outcome subgroups are reported using differences with 95% CIs. Categorical data were compared using the χ2 test or the Fisher exact test. Nonnormal distributed continuous data were compared using Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test.

     

    Bivariate Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) models were used to determine HRs and 95% CIs between individual factors on the development of ARDS or progression from ARDS to death. Sample size varied because of missing data (summarized in Tables 1 and 2). Survival curves were developed using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test. Time to events (ARDS or death) were defined as the time from hospital admission to events.

     

    The analyses regarding different factors were based on nonmissing data, and missing data were not imputed. All tests were 2-sided, and a P value less than .05 was considered statistically significant. All analyses were performed with SPSS, version 23.0 (IBM SPSS), or R software, version 3.6.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing).

     
    Results
     
    Demographics and Characteristics
     

    A total of 201 patients were included in this study (Table 1). The median age was 51 years (IQR, 43-60 years), and 128 (63.7%) were male. The most commonly self-reported symptoms at onset of illness were fever (n = 188 [93.5%]), cough (n = 163 [81.1%]), productive cough (n = 83 [41.3%]), dyspnea (n = 80 [39.8%]), and fatigue or myalgia (n = 65 [32.3%]). The majority (n = 154 [76.6%]) of patients had fever with cough; 74 (36.8%) had fever with dyspnea; 66 (32.8%) had fever with fatigue, myalgia, or headache; and only 13 (6.5%) presented with fever alone (eTable 1 in the Supplement). A total of 191 (95.0%) patients had findings of bilateral infiltrates on radiographic imaging, while 10 (5.0%) patients had unilateral infiltrates. Sixty-six (32.8%) patients had comorbidities, including hypertension (n = 39 [19.4%]), diabetes (n = 22 [10.9%]), liver disease (n = 7 [3.5%]), nervous system disease (n = 7 [3.5%]), chronic lung disease (n = 5 [2.5%]), chronic kidney disease (n = 2 [1.0%]), endocrine system diseases not including diabetes (n = 2 [1.0%]), and tumors (n = 1 [0.5%]). Most (n = 173 [86.1%]) patients were tested for 9 additional respiratory pathogens. Bacteria and fungi cultures were collected from 148 (73.6%) patients. Only 1 patient was coinfected with influenza A virus.

     
    Treatments in Hospital
     

    Of the 201 patients, 165 (82.1%) required oxygen support in the hospital (Table 1). The most intense level was recorded, including nasal cannula (n = 98 [48.8%]), NMV (n = 61 [30.3%]), IMV (n = 5 [2.5%]), or IMV with ECMO (n = 1 [0.5%]). Among 201 patients, most (n = 196 [97.5%]) received empirical antibiotic treatment and antiviral therapy (n = 170 [84.6%]), including oseltamivir (n = 134 [66.7%]), ganciclovir (n = 81 [40.3%]), lopinavir/ritonavir (n = 30 [14.9%]), and interferon alfa (n = 22 [10.9%]). More than half (n = 106 [52.7%]) of patients received antioxidant therapy, including glutathione and N-acetyl-L-cysteine. Methylprednisolone was given to 62 (30.8%) patients, and immunomodulators, including immunoglobulin, thymosin, and recombinant human granulocyte colony stimulating factor, were given to 70 (34.8%) patients.

     
    Laboratory Indices
     

    Laboratory findings on hospital admission are summarized in Table 2. Of 194 patients, 166 (85.6%) demonstrated increased high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. More than half (126 of 197 [64.0%]) of this cohort had lymphocytopenia. About one-third (68 of 197 [34.5%]) of patients had neutrophilia. Approximately one-quarter (46 of 197 [23.4%]) of patients had leukocytosis. Some patients demonstrated liver injury with elevated aspartate aminotransferase (AST; 59 of 198 [29.8%]) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT; 43 of 198 [21.7%]). Most patients presented with an elevated myocardial indices: 194 of 198 (98.0%) had elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and 9 of 198 (4.5%) had an elevated creatine kinase muscle-brain isoform. Few patients had kidney injury indicated by elevated plasma urea (9 of 198 [4.5%]) and serum creatinine (9 of 198 [4.5%]). Of 195 patients, 4 (2.1%) presented with prolonged prothrombin times (PTs).

     
    Clinical Outcomes
     

    As of February 13, 2020, 144 of the total 201 patients (71.6%) were discharged from the hospital. The median hospital stay was 13 days (IQR, 10-16 days), and 13 (6.5%) patients were still hospitalized. Of the entire cohort, 84 (41.8%) patients developed ARDS, 53 (26.4%) were admitted to the intensive care unit, 67 (33.3%) received mechanical ventilation, and 44 (21.9%) died. Among the 67 patients who received mechanical ventilation, 44 (65.7%) died, 14 (20.9%) were discharged from the hospital, and 9 (13.4%) remained hospitalized. The median time from admission to developing ARDS was 2 days (IQR, 1-4 days). All of the patients who died had developed ARDS and received mechanical ventilation.

     

    Table 3 demonstrates that when compared with patients without ARDS, patients with ARDS were older (difference, 12.0 years; 95% CI, 8.0-16.0 years; P < .001) and had higher temperature prior to admission (difference, 0.30 °C; 95% CI, 0.00-0.50 °C; P = .004). More patients with ARDS presented with initial symptoms of dyspnea compared with those without ARDS (difference, 33.9%; 95% CI, 19.7%-48.1%; P < .001). Compared with patients without ARDS, patients with ARDS had a higher proportion of comorbidities, including hypertension (difference, 13.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-26.1%; P = .02) and diabetes (difference, 13.9%; 95% CI, 3.6%-24.2%; P = .002). In addition, when compared with patients who did not have ARDS, patients who developed ARDS were less likely to be treated with antiviral therapy (difference, −14.4%; 95% CI, −26.0% to −2.9%; P = .005) and more likely to be treated with methylprednisolone (difference, 49.3%; 95% CI, 36.4%-62.1%; P < .001). Of 84 patients with ARDS, 61 (72.6%) received NMV, 17 (20.2%) received nasal cannula, 5 (6.0%) received IMV, and 1 (1.2%) received IMV with ECMO.

     

    Compared with patients without ARDS, for patients with ARDS, the value of liver damage indices (total bilirubin [difference, 1.90 mg/dL; 95% CI, 0.60-3.30 mg/dL; P = .004]), renal dysfunction indices (urea [difference, 1.69 mM; 95% CI, 1.10-2.29 mM; P < .001]), inflammation-related indices (interleukin-6 [IL-6] [difference, 0.93 pg/L; 95% CI, 0.07-1.98 pg/L; P = .03]), and coagulation function indices (D-dimer [difference, 0.52 μg/mL; 95% CI, 0.21-0.94 μg/mL; P < .001]) were significantly elevated. However, lymphocyte counts (difference, −0.34 ×109/mL; 95% CI, −0.47 to −0.22 ×109/mL; P < .001) and CD8 T cells (difference, −66.00 cells/μL; 95% CI, −129.00 to −7.00 cells/μL; P = .03) were significantly decreased.

     

    As summarized in Table 4, older age (≥65 years old), high fever (≥39 °C), comorbidities (eg, hypertension, diabetes), neutrophilia, lymphocytopenia (as well as lower CD3 and CD4 T-cell counts), elevated end-organ related indices (eg, AST, urea, LDH), elevated inflammation-related indices (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and serum ferritin), and elevated coagulation function–related indicators (PT and D-dimer) were significantly associated with higher risks of the development of ARDS. Patients who received treatment with methylprednisolone appear to have been sicker than patients who did not receive it. Specifically, a higher proportion of patients who received methylprednisolone were classified into a higher grade on the Pneumonia Severity Index7 compared with patients who did not receive methylprednisolone (P = .01; eTable 2 in the Supplement).

     

    In the subgroup of patients who developed ARDS, patients who ultimately died were older (difference, 18.0 years; 95% CI, 13.0-23.0 years; P < .001) and had lower proportion of high fever (difference, −31.8%; 95% CI, −56.5% to −7.1%; P = .007) than those who survived. They also had higher proportions of hypertension (difference, 18.9%; 95% CI, −2.0% to 39.7%; P = .05). The patients who died were less likely to be treated with antiviral therapy (difference, −40.7%; 95% CI, −58.5% to −22.9%; P < .001). Regarding the most intense level of oxygen support among the 44 ARDS patients who died, 38 (86.4%) received NMV, 5 (11.4%) received IMV, and 1 (2.3%) received IMV with ECMO.

     

    For patients with ARDS who died, the value of liver damage indices (total bilirubin [difference, 2.60 mg/dL; 95% CI, 0.30-5.20 mg/dL; P = .03]), renal dysfunction indices (urea [difference, 1.50 mM; 95% CI, 0.50-2.70 mM; P = .004]), inflammation-related indices (IL-6 [difference, 3.88 pg/L; 95% CI, 2.20-6.13 pg/L; P < .001]), and coagulation function indices (D-dimer [difference, 2.10 μg/mL; 95% CI, 0.89-5.27 μg/mL; P = .001]) were significantly elevated compared with patients with ARDS who survived. However, lymphocyte counts (difference, −0.23 ×109/mL; 95% CI, −0.41 to −0.07 ×109/mL; P = .004) and CD8 T cells (difference, −134 cells/μL; 95% CI, −221 to −10 cells/μL; P = .05) were significantly decreased (Table 3).

     

    Bivariate Cox models showed that several factors related to the development of ARDS were not associated with death, which included comorbidities, lymphocyte counts, CD3 and CD4 T-cell counts, AST, prealbumin, creatinine, glucose, low-density lipoprotein, serum ferritin, and PT. However, IL-6 was statistically significantly associated with death (Table 4). Although high fever was associated with higher likelihood of developing ARDS (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.11-2.84), it was negatively associated with death (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21-0.82).

     

    Finally, among the patients with ARDS, of those who received methylprednisolone treatment, 23 of 50 (46.0%) patients died, while of those who did not receive methylprednisolone treatment, 21 of 34 (61.8%) died. The administration of methylprednisolone appears to have reduced the risk of death in patients with ARDS (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20-0.72; P = .003) (Figure).

     
    Discussion
     

    In this cohort study, we reported the clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who developed ARDS after admission, as well as those who progressed from ARDS to death. Patients who received methylprednisolone treatment were much more likely to develop ARDS likely owing to confounding by indication; specifically, sicker patients were more likely to be given methylprednisolone. However, administration of methylprednisolone appeared to reduce the risk of death in patients with ARDS. These findings suggest that for patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, methylprednisolone treatment may be beneficial for those who have developed ARDS on disease progression. However, these results should be interpreted with caution owing to potential bias and residual confounding in this observational study with a small sample size. Double-blinded randomized clinical trials should be conducted to validate these results.

     

    The risk factors related to the development of ARDS and progression from ARDS to death included older age, neutrophilia, and organ and coagulation dysfunction (eg, higher LDH and D-dimer). In addition, we observed that several factors associated with the development of ARDS were not associated with death (eg, comorbidities, lymphocyte counts, CD3 and CD4 T-cell counts, AST, prealbumin, creatinine, glucose, low-density lipoprotein, serum ferritin, PT). Moreover, the difference in median D-dimer between the death and survival groups was larger than that between the ARDS and non-ARDS groups, which suggests that disseminated intravascular coagulation was on the pathway to death in some patients. Interestingly, although high fever was positively associated with development of ARDS, it was negatively related to death, which is consistent with results noted in a study by Schell-Chaple et al.8 However, the differences in patient temperature between the groups were very small and self-reported before hospital admission, thus the data regarding high fever should be cautiously interpreted.

     

    The pathogenesis of highly pathogenic human coronavirus is still not completely understood. Cytokine storm and viral evasion of cellular immune responses are thought to play important roles in disease severity.9 Neutrophilia was found in both the peripheral blood10 and lung11 of patients with SARS-CoV. The severity of lung damage correlated with extensive pulmonary infiltration of neutrophils and macrophages and higher numbers of these cells in the peripheral blood in patients with Middle East respiratory syndrome.12-14 Neutrophils are the main source of chemokines and cytokines. The generation of cytokine storm can lead to ARDS, which is a leading cause of death in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome 15 and Middle East respiratory syndrome.14 In this study, patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who had developed ARDS had significantly higher neutrophil counts than did those without ARDS, perhaps leading to the activation of neutrophils to execute an immune response against the virus, but also contributing to cytokine storm. This may partly explain the positive association of high fever and ARDS found at the early stages of COVID-19. In addition, considering that older age is associated with declined immune competence,16 the results of the present study showed that older age was associated with both ARDS and death. Therefore, older age related to death may be due to less robust immune responses.

     

    The results of this study show that higher CD3 and CD4 T-cell counts might protect patients from developing ARDS, but similar results were not observed when examined for death, possibly because of limited sample size. CD8 counts were significantly higher in those who were alive. These results indicate the important roles of CD4 and CD8 T cells in COVID-19 pneumonia. Earlier studies have revealed that SARS-CoV, which was reported to share the same cell entry receptors with SARS-CoV-2,17,18 could infect immune cells, including T lymphocytes, monocytes, and macrophages.19 The CD3, CD4, and CD8 T-cell counts decreased at the onset of illness; this decrease persisted until the recovery period of SARS-CoV pneumonia.19 In addition, CD4 and CD8 T-cell counts decreased in the peripheral blood specimen of patients with fatal SARS-CoV pneumonia10,20,21, which was consistent with these results that patients with COVID-19 pneumonia and ARDS presented with lymphocytopenia (CD3, CD4, and CD8 T cells). Studies demonstrated that T-cell responses can inhibit the overactivation of innate immunity.22 T cells were reported to help clear SARS-CoV, and a suboptimal T-cell response was found to cause pathological changes observed in mice with SARS-CoV.23 We hypothesized that persistent and gradual increases in lymphocyte responses might be required for effective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Further studies are needed to characterize the role of the neutrophil and lymphocyte response or that of CD4 and CD8 T-cell immune response in SARS-CoV-2 infection.

     
    Limitations
     

    This study has several limitations. First, owing to limited medical resources, only patients with relatively severe COVID-19 pneumonia were hospitalized during this period. Second, this study was conducted at a single-center hospital with limited sample size. As such, this study may have included disproportionately more patients with poor outcomes. There may also be a selection bias when identifying factors that influence the clinical outcomes. A larger cohort study of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia from Wuhan, China, other cities in China, and other countries would help to further define the clinical characteristics and risk factors of the disease.

     
    Conclusions
     

    Older age was associated with greater risk of developing ARDS and death, likely because of less rigorous immune response. Although fever was associated with the development of ARDS, it was also associated with better outcomes. Several factors related to the development of ARDS were not associated with death, which indicates that different pathophysiological changes from hospital admission to development of ARDS and from development of ARDS to death may exist. Moreover, treatment with methylprednisolone may be beneficial for patients who develop ARDS. Double-blinded randomized clinical trials to determine the most effective treatments for COVID-19 are still needed.

     
    Back to top
    Article Information

    Accepted for Publication: March 3, 2020.

    Corresponding Authors: Yuanlin Song, MD, Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Rd, Shanghai 200032, China (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.); Junhua Zheng, MD, Department of Urology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 85 Wujin Rd, Shanghai 200080, China (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.).

    Published Online: March 13, 2020. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.0994

    Author Contributions: Drs Song and Zheng had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Drs Wu, X. Chen, Cai, and Xia contributed equally and share first authorship. Drs Song and Zheng contributed equally to the study.

    Study concept and design: Wu, X. Chen, Cai, Xia, Zheng, Y. Song.

    Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: X. Chen, Xing Zhou, S. Xu, Huang, L. Zhang, Xia Zhou, Du, Y. Zhang, J. Song, Wang, Chao, Yang, J. Xu, Xin Zhou, D. Chen, Xiong, L. Xu, F. Zhou, Jiang, Bai.

    Drafting of the manuscript: X. Chen, Xia, Xing Zhou, S. Xu, Huang, L. Zhang, Xia Zhou, Du, Y. Zhang, J. Song, Wang, Chao, Yang, J. Xu, Xin Zhou, D. Chen, Xiong, L. Xu, F. Zhou, Jiang, Bai.

    Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Wu, X. Chen, Cai, Xia, Du, Zheng, Y. Song.

    Statistical analysis: X. Chen, Y. Song.

    Obtained funding: Wu, Zheng, Y. Song.

    Administrative, technical, or material support: Cai, Xia, Xing Zhou, S. Xu, Huang, L. Zhang, Xia Zhou, Yang, J. Xu, Xin Zhou, D. Chen, Xiong, L. Xu, F. Zhou, Jiang, Bai, Zheng, Y. Song.

    Study supervision: Zheng, Y. Song.

    Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.

    Funding/Support: This study was supported by a grant from Prevention and Treatment of Infection in Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Patients from the Shanghai Science and Technology Committee (to Dr Yuanlin Song), the Special Fund of Shanghai Jiaotong University for Coronavirus Disease 2019 Control and Prevention (2020RK47 to Dr Junhua Zheng), and Academic Leader of Shanghai Qingpu District Healthcare Commission (WD2019-36 to Dr Chaomin Wu).

    Role of the Funder/Sponsor The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

    Additional Contributions: We thank Weibing Wang, PhD, from the Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University; Yan Liu, MD, and Hongcai Shang, PhD, from Key Laboratory of Chinese Internal Medicine of Ministry of Education, Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine; Xiaojia Huang, PhD, from the Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Health Sciences, Changzhou University; and Yaohui Li, MD, from Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University for their statistical analysis discussion. We also thank Dongni Hou, MD, Sucheng Mu, MD, Donghui Zhang, MD, and Ke Lang, BD, from Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University for their data collection. They were not compensated for their contributions.

    References
    1.
    World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): situation report—37. February 25, 2020. Accessed February 26, 2020. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200226-sitrep-37-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=6126c0a4_2.
    2.
    Zhu  N, Zhang  D, Wang  W,  et al; China Novel Coronavirus Investigating and Research Team.  A novel coronavirus from patients with pneumonia in China, 2019.  N Engl J Med. 2020;382(8):727-733. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2001017PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    3.
    Huang  C, Wang  Y, Li  X,  et al Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China.  Lancet. 2020;395(10223):497-506. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5Google ScholarCrossref
    4.
    Chen  N, Zhou  M, Dong  X,  et al.  Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study.  Lancet. 2020;395(10223):507-513. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    5.
    Wang  D, Hu  B, Hu  C,  et al Clinical characteristics of 138 hospitalized patients with 2019 novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia in Wuhan, China.  JAMA. Published online February 7, 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.1585
    ArticleGoogle Scholar
    6.
    World Health Organization. Clinical management of severe acute respiratory infection when novel coronavirus (nCoV) infection is suspected: interim guidance. January 28, 2020. Accessed March 5, 2020. https://www.who.int/publications-detail/clinical-management-of-severe-acute-respiratory-infection-when-novel-coronavirus-(ncov)-infection-is-suspected.
    7.
    Fine  MJ, Auble  TE, Yealy  DM,  et al.  A prediction rule to identify low-risk patients with community-acquired pneumonia.  N Engl J Med. 1997;336(4):243-250. doi:10.1056/NEJM199701233360402PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    8.
    Schell-Chaple  HM, Puntillo  KA, Matthay  MA, Liu  KD; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network.  Body temperature and mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome.  Am J Crit Care. 2015;24(1):15-23. doi:10.4037/ajcc2015320PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    9.
    Channappanavar  R, Perlman  S.  Pathogenic human coronavirus infections: causes and consequences of cytokine storm and immunopathology.  Semin Immunopathol. 2017;39(5):529-539. doi:10.1007/s00281-017-0629-xPubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    10.
    Wang  YH, Lin  AS, Chao  TY,  et al.  A cluster of patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome in a chest ward in southern Taiwan.  Intensive Care Med. 2004;30(6):1228-1231. doi:10.1007/s00134-004-2311-8PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    11.
    Nicholls  JM, Poon  LLM, Lee  KC,  et al.  Lung pathology of fatal severe acute respiratory syndrome.  Lancet. 2003;361(9371):1773-1778. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(03)13413-7PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    12.
    Ng  DL, Al Hosani  F, Keating  MK,  et al.  Clinicopathologic, immunohistochemical, and ultrastructural findings of a fatal case of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infection in the United Arab Emirates, April 2014.  Am J Pathol. 2016;186(3):652-658. doi:10.1016/j.ajpath.2015.10.024PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    13.
    Min  CK, Cheon  S, Ha  NY,  et al.  Comparative and kinetic analysis of viral shedding and immunological responses in MERS patients representing a broad spectrum of disease severity.  Sci Rep. 2016;6:25359. doi:10.1038/srep25359PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    14.
    Kim  ES, Choe  PG, Park  WB,  et al.  Clinical progression and cytokine profiles of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infection.  J Korean Med Sci. 2016;31(11):1717-1725. doi:10.3346/jkms.2016.31.11.1717PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    15.
    Lew  TW, Kwek  TK, Tai  D,  et al.  Acute respiratory distress syndrome in critically ill patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome.  JAMA. 2003;290(3):374-380. doi:10.1001/jama.290.3.374
    ArticlePubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    16.
    Goronzy  JJ, Fang  F, Cavanagh  MM, Qi  Q, Weyand  CM.  Naive T cell maintenance and function in human aging.  J Immunol. 2015;194(9):4073-4080. doi:10.4049/jimmunol.1500046PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    17.
    Zhou  P, Yang  XL, Wang  XG,  et al.  A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin.  Nature. Published online February 3, 2020. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2012-7PubMedGoogle Scholar
    18.
    Hoffmann  M, Kleine-Weber  H, Krüger  N, Müller  M, Drosten  C, Pöhlmann  S. The novel coronavirus 2019 (2019-nCoV) uses the SARS-coronavirus receptor 2 ACE2 and the cellular protease TMPRSS2 for entry into target cells.  Preprint. Posted online January 31, 2020. bioRxiv. doi:10.1101/2020.01.31.929042
    19.
    Gu  J, Gong  E, Zhang  B,  et al.  Multiple organ infection and the pathogenesis of SARS.  J Exp Med. 2005;202(3):415-424. doi:10.1084/jem.20050828PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    20.
    Li  T, Qiu  Z, Zhang  L,  et al.  Significant changes of peripheral T lymphocyte subsets in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome.  J Infect Dis. 2004;189(4):648-651. doi:10.1086/381535PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    21.
    Cui  W, Fan  Y, Wu  W, Zhang  F, Wang  JY, Ni  AP.  Expression of lymphocytes and lymphocyte subsets in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome.  Clin Infect Dis. 2003;37(6):857-859. doi:10.1086/378587PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    22.
    Kim  KD, Zhao  J, Auh  S,  et al.  Adaptive immune cells temper initial innate responses.  Nat Med. 2007;13(10):1248-1252. doi:10.1038/nm1633PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
    23.
    Zhao  J, Zhao  J, Perlman  S.  T cell responses are required for protection from clinical disease and for virus clearance in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-infected mice.  J Virol. 2010;84(18):9318-9325. doi:10.1128/JVI.01049-10PubMedGoogle ScholarCrossref
  • The seven types of Covid

    facebook Share on Facebook

    <a href=Covid-19 infection manifests as one of seven seemingly different symptoms—including gastrointestinal complaints that affect up to 20 percent of everyone who catches the virus.

  • Be like a bat: how to beat the coronavirus

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Be like a bat: how to beat the coronavirus image

    With all the hysteria raging around the coronavirus (now COVID-19) outbreak, let's start by putting the scale of the epidemic into context. First, the coronavirus is less contagious than previous viral outbreaks, such as SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome). Second, it's far less lethal than even the seasonal flu; that kills upwards of 60,000 people in the States alone every year, while, at the time of writing, the coronavirus had claimed just over 900 lives around the world since December, when it was detected.

  • Copper being tested as Covid virus killer

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Copper being tested as Covid virus killer image

    Copper is already been used in some hospitals as a powerful antiseptic—and researchers believe it could also be effective against the Covid-19 virus.

  • Coronavirus no more deadly than seasonal flu

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Coronavirus no more deadly than seasonal flu image

    Despite the coronavirus (Covid-19) hysteria, it is probably no more lethal than the seasonal flu virus, researchers say.

    Its fatality rate is likely to be around 0.1 percent, 20 times lower than the current reported rate of 2 percent. Some hospitals are already supporting this revised view and have reported fatality rates of around 1.4 percent.

  • COVID-19 AND OTHER CORONAVIRUS: AIRBORNE INDOOR AND OUTDOOR TRANSMISSION? STATE OF EVIDENCE - Giulio Tarro ?

    Abstract Title:

    COVID-19 AND OTHER CORONAVIRUS: AIRBORNE INDOOR AND OUTDOOR TRANSMISSION? STATE OF EVIDENCE - Giulio Tarro

    Abstract Source:

    International Journal of Current Research
    Vol. 12, Issue, 05, pp.11652-11663, May, 2020
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.24941/ijcr.38687.05.2020

    Abstract Author(s):

    Giulio Tarro

    Article Affiliation:

    Giulio Tarro

    Abstract:

    Related health international organization there are two principal way of transmission of coronavirus covid-19: direct contact whit infected subject or by droplets. Other way under deep investigation by researcher is airborne transmission. Related the evidence presented in this work is possible to verify that in indoor settings this is possible. Relevant is the distance considered. Observing the role played by PM10 of polluted air in accelerared diffusion of covid- 19 in some world region Is interesting to observe the effect of musk use to reduce intake of this pollutans for a significative period. All this evidence must be applied in many healthcare settings like oncology or towards immunodepressed (or other kind of vulnerable condition) patiens also during access to hospitals. ICU settings are the hospital area subjected to severe procedure to prevent diffusion of  Covid - 19 and other infectious disease like MDR bacteria or some invasive fungal but according published evidences other area in hospital settings must be considered at risk of diffuse this kind of infectious disease.

  • Covid-19 is no random killer, study finds

    facebook Share on Facebook

    bigstock Social Distancing Miniature P 360808753Covid-19 isn’t a random killer. Only people who have one of four chronic health problems is likely to die from the virus, a major new study has confirmed.

    The ‘big four’ are heart disease, breathing or kidney (renal) problems, or cancer—and these risks are magnified if the person is also obese, or is suffering from several of the diseases at the same time. Age also plays a part, but again only if the patient has one of the four health problems.

  • Covid-19 wonder drug may not work at all

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Covid-19 wonder drug may not work at all image

    An antiviral drug is being touted as a remedy to speed recovery from Covid-19—but others who have tested it say it doesn't work.

    Remdesivir can cut recovery time by around 30 percent, a new study has discovered, and one that produces 'clear-cut evidence' that it could become a front-line treatment, according to America's leading immunologist, Dr Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID).

  • Coward or selfish? Government tests marketing messages for COVID vaccine

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Coward or selfish? Government tests marketing messages for COVID vaccine image

    US health agencies are testing different marketing messages to convince the maximum number of people to have a COVID-19 vaccination when it becomes available.

  • Critical COVID-19 patients 'successfully' treated with high-dose vitamin C

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Critical COVID-19 patients 'successfully' treated with high-dose vitamin C image

    A group of hospitals in New York is treating its most critical COVID-19 patients with high doses of vitamin C. So far, more than 700 patients have been given the vitamin intravenously.

    "The patients who received vitamin C did significantly better than those who did not get vitamin C," said Dr Andrew G Weber, a pulmonologist and critical care specialist with Northwell Health, which has 23 hospitals in New York state, including Lenox Hill Hospital in Manhattan.

  • CURRENT EVENTS AND PROSPECTS FOR THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC - Giulio Tarro ?

    Abstract Title:

    CURRENT EVENTS AND PROSPECTS FOR THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC FOR THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC

    Abstract Source:

    International Journal of Current Research
    Vol. 12, Issue, 05, pp.11799-11801, May, 2020
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.24941/ijcr.38816.05.2020

    Abstract Author(s):

    Giulio Tarro

    Article Affiliation:

    Giulio Tarro

    Abstract:

    The certainties of this coronavirus infection are it is a new coronavirus with human-to-human transmission. The genome varies up to 12% compared to the original bat coronavirus, <1% of healthy people die from the disease. The antibodies of the healed subjects neutralize the virus also for the other infected. Those who have had the virus perhaps without their knowledge because it is asymptomatic and have overcome it by treating it as a normal flu or even pneumonia, preserve its memory through specific antibodies and are protected. He cannot infect anyone after being healed. For relapses, the subjects are immunodeficient, they did not produce the antibodies or they are infected by a different or modified virus. The symptomatology of this coronavirus respiratory syndrome is considered moderate for the majority of cases as a simple cold, which can however deepen in the pulmonary bronchus and give "mild" pneumonia, according to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention , statement made at the end of February after the observation of about 90 thousand cases. 14% of confirmed cases became severe with serious pneumonia and dyspnoea. Another 5% of the patients had pulmonary collapse, septic shock and deficiency of several organs and correspond to the critical cases that led to the exit (2.3% of the total). The coronavirus that travels regularly in winter cause symptoms mostly colds. The cases infected by this new COVID - 19 develop severe forms only if there are previous diseases and in the elderly. Less than 1% of healthy subjects died of this new SARS, while cardio patients were 10.5%, diabetics 7.3%  and patients with chronic respiratory diseases, hypertension or cancer 6%.

  • Current events and prospects for the coronavirus epidemic - Prof. Giulio Tarro

    facebook Share on Facebook

    Prof. Giulio TarroWill the Covid 19 emergency ever end? Millions of Italians ask in the face of terrorist statements by "experts" idolized on TV and in mainstream newspapers.

  • Doctor silenced over successful Covid therapy

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Doctor silenced over successful Covid therapy image

    A doctor who has successfully treated over a hundred Covid-19 patients has been ordered to stop advertising his methods.

    Dr David Brownstein, who runs the Center for Holistic Medicine in West Bloomfield, MI, has had to remove details of his treatment protocols from his website and blog, even though they are explained in a scientific paper published last month.

  • Far-UV light kills Covid-19 virus

    facebook Share on Facebook

    They laughed at him when he suggested it, but President Trump may have had a point—ultraviolet light can kill the Covid-19 virus.

  • Gingko biloba could combat the COVID-19 virus

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Gingko biloba could combat the COVID-19 virus image

    Ginkgo biloba is a potential therapy to combat the Corona-19 virus, say scientists. Its anti-viral abilities have been successfully tested on several viruses—including Herpes and Zika—and it could be just as effective against COVID-19.

  • Interview to the Virologist Giulio Tarro: "The death rate of COVID 19 is less than 1% as confirmed by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases"

    facebook Share on Facebook

    "Leaving the number of SWABS in the hands of the regions creates chaos. The Korean model must be followed"

    Coronavirus. The decision by the British authorities to "let the epidemic out" is causing a sensation by placing almost no restriction on crowding (in the hope that this will lead to rapid immunization in the infected) and, at the same time, placing high-risk people in quarantine, such as example, the elderly. On the strategies that oversee (or should oversee) the tackling of epidemic emergencies we reinterviewed (see here and here) prof. Giulio Tarro of whom we report his, just published, scientific article on Coronavirus.

    Interview supplemented by some explanatory tables taken from this source

  • Loss of smell and taste are signs of Covid infection (but a sore throat isn't)

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Loss of smell and taste are signs of Covid infection (but a sore throat isn't) image

    What are some of the symptoms of Covid-19 infection? Aside from a persistent cough and fever, a sudden loss of taste and smell are also common, even though they haven't been added to the growing list.

  • Low levels of vitamin D could be key factor in COVID deaths

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Low levels of vitamin D could be key factor in COVID deaths image

    We've all been told to stay indoors during the COVID-19 outbreak—but that could be just about the worst advice going.

    Vitamin D, the 'sunshine vitamin', is one of the most important nutrients in protecting us from the virus.

  • Lung ultrasound combined with d-dimer testing for early detection of pulmonary intravascular coagulopathy in covid-19 pneumonia 📎

    facebook Share on Facebook
    Abstract Title:

    Lung ultrasound combined with d-dimer testing for early detection of pulmonary intravascular coagulopathy in covid-19 pneumonia

    Abstract Author(s):Trapanese Ersilio, Salvatore Vittorio, Lamberti Rossella and Tarro Giulio
     
    Article Affiliation:

    Trapanese Ersilio

    Abstract:

    The outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has show a global spreading trend. Early and effective predictors of clinical outcomes are urgently needed to improve management of Covid-19 patients. Lung ultrasound (LUS) combined with D-Dimer (DD) testing could be a new strategy for early diagnosis in patients with suspected COVID-19 pneumonia associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and helpful prevent the progression of intravascular pulmonary coagulopathy. Modern assay for D-dimer are monoclonal antibody based. The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) is the reference method for D-dimer analysis. Elevated D-dimer levels are associated with clotting activation and fibrinolysis and can be used as indirect biomarkers of thrombosis than in combination with B-lines detected by lung ultrasound become highly sensitive in the diagnosis of pulmonary intravascular coagulopathy in COVID-19 pneumonia. Careful attention needs to be paid to the initial diagnosis, prevention and treatment of the prothrombotic and thrombotic state that can occur in a substantial percentage of COVID-19 patients. We believe that lung ultrasound early detection in COVID-19 and a rapid D-dimer assay may provide better prognosis in these patients.

We use cookies on our website. Some of them are essential for the operation of the site, while others help us to improve this site and the user experience (tracking cookies). You can decide for yourself whether you want to allow cookies or not. Please note that if you reject them, you may not be able to use all the functionalities of the site.